Quick hits: Policy-relevant research at ASSA 2025
Weeks of it, packed into three days
Later this week, economists and researchers in related fields gather in San Francisco for the Allied Social Science Associations annual conference. The program includes research presentations, panel discussions, and lectures on a wide range of topics, including many that are relevant to current and future policy debates. Below is a (not exhaustive) list of policy-relevant sessions, including paper titles and the names of authors/participants, drawn directly from the program. Session titles link to sessions’ pages on the conference website, which include paper abstracts (and in some cases drafts and/or slides) and additional information.
Friday, 8:00 am PT
Who Cares? Care, Care Work, and Family Leave Policies (streamed live)
Panel session featuring Richard Frank (Harvard Medical School and The Brookings Institution), Ai-Jen Poo (Caring Across Generations & National Domestic Workers Alliance), Maya Rossin-Slater (Stanford University), and Claudia Goldin (Harvard University)
Information, Perceptions, and Beliefs in the Labor Market
Why Do People Choose Alternative Work Arrangements? Evidence from A Survey Experiment (Edward Freeland, Princeton University; Andrew Garin, Carnegie Mellon University; Dmitri Koustas, University of Chicago; Linh Tô, Boston University)
Pay Transparency and the Efficacy of Collective Bargaining: Evidence from Hollywood (Zoe Cullen, Harvard University; Nina Roussille, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Heather Sarsons, University of British Columbia)
Labor Shortages and Firm Search (Zoe Cullen, Harvard University; Mitchell Hoffman, University of California-Santa Barbara; Felix Koenig, Carnegie Mellon University)
How Much Can You Make? Misprediction and Biased Memory in Gig Jobs (Pedro Pires, Nova SBE)
Market Power and Inequality: Micro Meets Macro
Surplus and Distribution (Matthew Ryan Backus, University of California-Berkeley; Jett Pettus, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Markups Across the Income Distribution: Measurement and Implications (Kunal Sangani, Stanford University)
Pricing Inequality (Simon Mongey, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis; Michael Waugh, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)
Economic Inequality and Market Power (Matthew Leisten, Federal Trade Commission)
The Impacts of Educational Policies on Disadvantaged Groups
The Disparate Long Run Impacts of Academic Probation (Serena Canaan, Simon Fraser University; Stefanie Fischer, Monash University; Pierre Mouganie, Simon Fraser University; Geoffrey Schnorr, University of California-Los Angeles and The California Employment Development Department)
The Effects of Accelerated Middle School Math on STEM Degree Completion (Laura Giuliano, University of California-Santa Cruz and NBER; David Card, University of California-Berkeley and NBER)
Should States Allow For-Profit Companies to Train Teachers? Evidence from Texas (Christa Deneault, Federal Trade Commission; Evan Riehl, Cornell University)
Labor Market Strength and Declining Community College Enrollment (Joshua Goodman, Boston University and NBER; Joseph Winkelmann, Harvard University)
Immigration, Employment, and Public Policies
Immigrant Age at Arrival and the Intergenerational Transmission of Ethnic Identification among Mexican Americans (Brian Duncan, University of Colorado-Denver; Stephen J. Trejo, University of Texas-Austin)
Unaccompanied Migrant Children and Violations of Federal Child Labor Legislation (Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes, University of California-Merced; José R. Bucheli, University of Texas-El Paso)
The Self-Employment Decisions of Immigrants in America (Alejandro Gutierrez-Li, North Carolina State University)
Differences in Exposure to Food Insecurity between Foreign-Born and U.S.-Born Households and the Role of SNAP (Alfonso Flores-Lagunes, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research; Judith Liu, University of Oklahoma; Norbert L. Wilson, Duke University)
Gender Differences in Non-Promotable Tasks: The Case of Clinical Note-Taking (Bryan Chu, University of California-Berkeley; Benjamin Handel, University of California-Berkeley; Jonathan Kolstad, University of California-Berkeley; Ulrike Malmendier, University of California-Berkeley)
Should Top Surgeons Practice at Top Hospitals? Sorting and Complementarities in Healthcare (Pauline Mourot, Boston University)
The Productivity of Professions: Evidence from the Emergency Department (David C. Chan, Stanford University; Yiqun Chen, University of Illinois-Chicago)
The Rise of Healthcare Jobs (Joshua D. Gottlieb, University of Chicago; Neale Mahoney, Stanford University; Victoria Udalova, U.S. Census Bureau)
Friday, 10:15 am PT
Economic Policy in the Trump Administration
Panel session featuring Michael Faulkender (University of Maryland), Casey Mulligan (University of Chicago), Kimberly Clausing (University of California-Los Angeles), and Jason Furman (Harvard University)
Impacts of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Initiatives
The Long-Run Impacts of Mentoring Underrepresented Minority Groups in Economics (Francisca Antman, University of Colorado-Boulder; Bruce A. Weinberg, Ohio State University; Trevon Logan, Ohio State University)
Reputational Effects of Diversity Scholarships in the Labor Market (Janet Xu, Stanford University)
Gender Quotas for Top Executives (Amalia Miller, University of Virginia; David Matsa, Northwestern University)
Enabling Employment: The Effect of DEI Initiatives on Disability Employment Outcomes (Lawrence Houston, University of Houston; Douglas Kruse, Rutgers University)
Unlocking Mortgage Lock-In (Julia Fonseca, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign; Lu Liu, University of Pennsylvania; Pierre Mabille, INSEAD)
Macro Shocks and Housing Markets (Janice Eberly, Northwestern University; Gene Amromin, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)
Mortgage Lock-in, Life-cycle Migration, and the Welfare Effects of Housing Market Liquidity (Kris Gerardi, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta; Franklin Qian, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill; David Zhang, Rice University)
Technology and the Changing Nature of Work
Technology and Labor Displacement: Evidence from Linking Patents with Worker-Level Data (Leonid Kogin, MIT Sloan School of Management; Dimitris Papanikolaou, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University; Larry Schmidt, MIT Sloan School of Management; Bryan Seegmiller, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University)
The Short-term Effects of Generative Artificial Intelligence on Employment: Evidence from an Online Labor Market (Xiang Hui, Washington University in St. Louis; Oren Reshef, Washington University in St. Louis; Luofeng Zhou, New York University)
Technological Change and Insuring Job Loss (Carter Braxton, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Bledi Taska, SkyHive)
The Effect of Software Adoption on Skill Demand and Wage Inequality (Zara Contractor, Middlebury College; Bledi Taska, SkyHive)
Unconditional Cash Transfers in the U.S.
The Employment Effects of a Guaranteed Income: Experimental Evidence from Two U.S. States (Eva Vivalt, University of Toronto; Elizabeth Rhodes, Open Research Lab; Alexander Bartik, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign; David Broockman, University of California-Berkeley; Sarah Miller, University of Michigan)
Household Response to a Guaranteed Income Policy: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment in Compton, California (Sidhya Balakrishnan, Jain Family Institute; Sewin Chan, New York University; Sara Constantino, Northeastern University; Johannes Haushofer, National University of Singapore; Jonathan Morduch, New York University)
A Randomized Controlled Trial on the Provision of Financial and Social Capital to Low-Income Households in the United States (Ania Jaroszewicz, University of California-San Diego; Oliver P. Hauser, University of Exeter; Jon M. Jachimowicz, Harvard University; Emily Bianchi, Emory University; Stephan Meier, Columbia University; Johannes Haushofer, National University of Singapore and Stockholm University)
Firms and Labor Market Institutions
Who's Afraid of the Minimum Wage? Measuring the Impacts on Independent Businesses Using Matched U.S. Tax Returns (Nirupama Rao, University of Michigan; Max Risch, Carnegie Mellon University)
Quantifying the Role of Firms in Intergenerational Mobility (Caue Dobbin, Georgetown University; Tom Zohar, CEMFI)
Why Do Union Jobs Pay More? New Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee Data (Pierre-Loup Beauregard, University of British Columbia; Thomas Lemieux, University of British Columbia; Derek Messacar, Memorial University; Raffaele Saggio, University of British Columbia)
How Do Firms Respond to Unions? (Samuel Dodini, Norwegian School of Economics; Anna Stansbury, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Alexander Willen, Norwegian School of Economics)
Friday, 2:30 pm PT
Advances in Tax Policy: Market Power, Compliance, and Avoidance
Identifying Tax Compliance from Variation in Enforcement: Theory and Empirics (Andrew Bibler, University of Nevada-Las Vegas; Laura Grigolon, University of Mannheim; Keith Teltser, Georgia State University; Mark Tremblay, University of Nevada-Las Vegas)
Pass-through and Instrument Relevance: A Unified Framework for Falsifying Firm Conduct (Adam Dearing, Cornell University; Dan Quint, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Lorenzo Magnolfi, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Christopher Sullivan, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Sarah Waldfogel, University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Tax Design, Information, and Elasticities: Evidence from the French Wealth Tax (Bertrand Garbinti, CREST - ENSAE; Jonathan Goupille-Lebret, ENS de Lyon; Mathilde Munoz, University of California-Berkeley; Stefanie Stantcheva, Harvard University; Gabriel Zucman, Paris School of Economics)
Cross-Border Shopping in a Post-Wayfair World: Evidence from Foot-Traffic Data (Alannah Shute, University of Tennessee)
The Cost of Curbing Externalities with Market Power: Alcohol Regulations and Tax Alternatives (Christopher Conlon, New York University; Nirupama Rao, University of Michigan)
Big Data and Advances in Economic Statistics
Expanding the Frontier of Economic Statistics Using Big Data: A Case Study of Regional Employment (Brian Quistorff, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; Abe Dunn, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; Eric English, U.S. Census Bureau; Kyle Hood, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; Lowell Mason, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics)
From Online Job Postings to Economic Insights: A Machine Learning Approach to Structuring Naturally-Occurring Data (Tatjana Dahlhaus, Bank of Canada; Reinhard Ellwanger, Bank of Canada; Gabriela Galassi, Bank of Canada; Pierre-Yves Yanni, Bank of Canada)
Nowcasting Distributional National Accounts for the United States: A Machine Learning Approach (Marina Gindelsky, George Washington University H.O. Stekler Program on Forecasting; Gary Cornwall, George Washington University)
Slowly Scaling Per-Record Differential Privacy (Brian Finley, U.S. Census Bureau; Justin Doty, U.S. Census Bureau; Ashwin Machanavajjhala, Tumult Labs; Mikaela Meyer, MITRE; David Pujol, Tumult Labs; Anthony Caruso, U.S. Census Bureau; William Sexton, Tumult Labs; Zachary Terner, MITRE)
Firms’ Inflation Expectations: New Evidence and Policy Implications
Why Do Workers and Managers Have Different Takes on Inflation? (Francesco D'Acunto, Georgetown University; Saten Kumar, Aukland University of Technology; Michael Weber, University of Chicago)
Mining the Gap: Extracting Firms’ Inflation Expectations from Earnings Calls (Silvia Albrizio, International Monetary Fund; Allan Dizioli, International Monetary Fund; Pedro Vitale Simon, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign)
Inflation and Wage Expectations of Firms and Employees (Lukas Buchheim, Technical University Dortmund and CESifo; Sebastian Link, ifo Institute, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, CESifo and IZA; Sascha Möhrle, ifo Institute and Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich)
SAFE to Update Inflation Expectations? New Survey Evidence on Euro Area Firms (Ursel Baumann, European Central Bank; Annalisa Ferrando, European Central Bank; Dimitris Georgarakos, European Central Bank; Yuriy Gorodnichenko, University of California-Berkeley; Timo Reinelt, European Central Bank)
Income During Infancy Reduces Criminal Activity of Fathers and Children: Evidence from a Discontinuity in Tax Benefits (Sakshi Bhardwaj, University of Illinois)
How Does the Child Tax Credit Change the Time Allocation of Parents: Evidence from American Time Use Data (Yang Jiao, Texas A&M University-Texarkana; Tennecia Dacass, Central Washington University; Elif B. Dilden, Rockhurst University)
Strengthening Work Requirements? Forecasting Impacts of Reforming Cash Assistance Rules (Gabrielle Pepin, W.E. Upjohn Institute; Josep Nadal-Fernandez, Michigan State University; Kane Schrader, W.E. Upjohn Institute)
Fifty State Safety Nets: Trends, Patterns, and Policy Lessons (Tara Watson, Williams College; Lucie Schmidt, Smith College; Lara Shore-Sheppard, Williams College)
Non-Employment Effects of the Minimum Wage
Minimum Wages and Workplace Injuries (Anna Stansbury, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; R. Jisung Park, University of Pennsylvania; Michael Davies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Effects of California’s $20 Fast Food Minimum Wage (Michael Reich, University of California-Berkeley; Denis Sosinskiy, University of California-Davis)
Company Wage Policy in a Low-Wage Labor Market (Giulia Giupponi, Bocconi University; Stephen J. Machin, London School of Economics and Political Science)
Do Minimum Wage Increases Change the Non-Wage Value of Work? Evidence from Glassdoor (Jason Sockin, IZA Institute for Labor Economics; Aaron Sojourner, WE Upjohn Institute)
Search Effort and the Minimum Wage (Jon Piqueras, Bocconi University)
Public Assistance, Parents, and Children
Designing Cash Transfers in the Presence of Children's Human Capital Formation (Joseph Mullins, University of Minnesota)
The Long-Term Effects of Income for At-Risk Infants: Evidence from Supplemental Security Income (Gloria Aldana, U.S. Census Bureau; Amelia Hawkins, Brandeis University; Christopher Hollrah, University of Michigan; Sarah Miller, University of Michigan; Laura R. Wherry, New York University; Mitchell D. Wong, University of California-Los Angeles)
The Effect of Reducing Welfare Access on Employment, Health, and Children’s Long-Run Outcomes (Jeffrey Hicks, University of Toronto; Gaëlle Simard-Duplain, Carleton University; David Green, University of British Columbia; William Porter Warburton, Enterprise Economic Consulting)
How Disability Benefits in Early Life Affect Adult Outcomes (Manasi Deshpande, University of Chicago; Alessandra Voena, Stanford University; Jason Weitze, Stanford University)
Occupational Licensing and Labor Market Policies
Does Universal Licensing Recognition Improve Patient Access? Evidence from Healthcare Utilization (Morris Kleiner, University of Minnesota; Yun Taek Oh, University of Nevada-Reno)
Teacher Testing Standards and the New Teacher Pipeline (Mindy Marks, Northeastern University; Marc Law, University of Vermont; Tomer Stern, Northeastern University)
The Impact of Occupational Licensing on For-Profit Programs (Kihwan Bae, West Virginia University; Edward Timmons, West Virginia University)
Does Occupational Licensing Reduce Job Loss During Recessions? (Peter Blair, Harvard University; Bobby Chung, University of South Florida)
Saturday, 8:00 am PT
Industrial Policies and Innovation: Evidence from the Global EV Industry (Panle Jia Barwick, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Hyuksoo Kwon, University of Chicago; Shanjun Li, Cornell University; Yucheng Wang, University of Pittsburgh; Nahim Zahur, Queens University)
Decentralized Industrial Policy (Ernest Liu, Princeton University)
The Who, What, When, and How of Industrial Policy: A Text-Based Approach (Reka Juhasz, University of British Columbia and NBER; Nathaniel Lane, University of Oxford; Emily Oehlsen, Oxford University; Verónica C. Pérez, Boston University)
How Do Industrial and Place-Based Policies Work? (Gordon Hanson, Harvard University and NBER; Dani Rodrik, Harvard University and NBER; Rohan Sandhu, Harvard University)
Inequality Within and Across Firms
Quantifying Racial Disparities Using Consecutive Employment Spells (Isaac Sorkin, Stanford)
Cultural Transmission within a Multinational (Virginia Minni, University of Chicago; Kieu-Trang Nguyen, Kellogg School of Management; Heather Sarsons, University of British Columbia)
Voluntary Minimum Wages (Ellora Derenoncourt, Princeton; David Weil, Brandeis University)
Wages and Rents: A Worker's View (Sydnee Caldwell, University of California-Berkeley; Ingrid Haegele, Loyola Marymount University; Joerg Heining, IAB)
Inflation and the Macroeconomy (streamed live)
Panel session featuring Ben Bernanke (The Brookings Institution), John Cochrane (The Hoover Institution), Jason Furman (Harvard Kennedy School), and Christina Romer (University of California-Berkeley)
Policy Uncertainty and Economic Activity
The World Uncertainty Index (Hites Ahir, International Monetary Fund; Nicholas Bloom, Stanford University; Davide Furceri, International Monetary Fund)
Regional Trade Policy Uncertainty (Celine Poilly, Aix-Marseille School of Economics; Fabien Tripier, Paris Dauphine University)
Tariff Rate Uncertainty and the Structure of Supply Chains (Sebastian Heise, Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Justin Pierce, Federal Reserve Board; Georg Schaur, University of Tennessee; Peter K. Schott, Yale University)
The Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from a New Cross-Country Database (Gee Hee Hong, International Monetary Fund; Shikun (Barry) Ke, Yale University; Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, International Monetary Fund)
Technological Change and the Value of Skills
Returns to Skills and Apprenticeship Reforms (Christina Langer, Stanford University)
Automation or Augmentation? The Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Demand for Complementary and Substitute Knowledge Worker Skills (Fabian Stephany, Oxford Internet Institute; Elina Mäkelä, Oxford Internet Institute)
Superstars at Work: Increasing Returns to Scale Across Occupations (Ruyu Chen, Stanford University; Erik Brynjolfsson, Stanford University; Seth Benzell, Chapman University)
Banks' Technology Adoption, Worker Displacement, and the Importance of Modern Skills (Anastassia Fedyk, University of California-Berkeley; Efraim Benmelech, Northwestern University; James Hodson, AI for Good Foundation; Vladimir Mukharlyamov, Georgetown University; Dimitris Papanikolaou, Northwestern University)
Mind Over Matter: The Impact of IT Human Capital on Firm Productivity in the Digital Age (Sebastian Steffen, Boston College)
The Science of Evidence Use: Policymaker & Practitioner Preferences and Responsiveness
Disentangling Status Quo Bias (Eva Vivalt, University of Toronto)
Demand and Responsiveness to Evidence among Teachers and Parents (Noam Angrist, University of Oxford; Sharnic Djaker, University of Oxford; Shwetlena Sabarwal, World Bank)
Numbers Tell, Words Sell (Mattie Toma, University of Warwick; Michael Thaler, University College London; Victor Wang, University of Oxford)
Inframarginal Investments with Clean Energy Subsidies: Evidence from the Inflation Reduction Act (John Bistline, EPRI; Asa Watten, EPRI)
Shifting Household Power Demand Across Time: Incentives and Automation (Shefali Khanna, London School of Economics and Political Science; Mirabelle Muuls, Imperial College London; Ralf Martin, Imperial College London)
Strategic Avoidance and the Welfare Impacts of Solar Panel Tariffs (Bryan Bollinger, New York University; Todd Gerarden, Cornell University; Kenneth Gillingham, Yale University; Drew Vollmer, U.S. Department of Justice; Daniel Xu, Duke University)
Assessing the Impact of Minimum Energy Efficiency Standards for Rental Properties (Hector Sandoval, University of Florida; Pedro Hancevic, CIDE)
Care Occupations, Gender, and Markets
Occupational Crowding, Care Work, and Monopsony (Jessica Forden, The New School; Kate Bahn, Institute for Women's Policy Research)
Unraveling the Gender Wage Gap: The Influence of Monopsony Power and Labor Market Concentration (Barbara Schuster, Momentum Institute)
Effect of Child Care Regulations on Child Care Markets: Evidence from Policy Discontinuity at the Border (Won Fy Lee, First 5 California; Aaron Sojourner, Upjohn Institute; Elizabeth Davis, University of Minnesota; Johnathan Borowsky, University of Minnesota)
The Equilibrium Effects of State-mandated Minimum Staff-to-child Ratios (Martin Garcia Vazquez, Washington University in Saint Louis)
Labor Markets and Policy Analysis
Effects of Labor Market Tightness on Job Quality: Evidence from Job Changers (Brad Hershbein, W.E. Upjohn Institute; Katherine Lim, United States Department of Agriculture; Mike Zabek, Federal Reserve Board; Douglas Webber, Federal Reserve Board)
The Effects of State Paid Sick Leave Mandates on Parental Childcare Time (Johanna C. Maclean, George Mason University; Sabrina Wulff Pabilonia, Bureau of Labor Statistics)
The Efficiency-Equity Tradeoff of the Corporate Income Tax: Evidence from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (Patrick Kennedy, Joint Committee on Taxation; Christine Dobridge, Federal Reserve Board; Paul Landefeld, Joint Committee on Taxation; Jake Mortenson, Joint Committee on Taxation)
Government Transfers: Smoothing Food Expenditures During Recessions (Eliana Zeballos, United States Department of Agriculture; Ergys Islamaj, World Bank; Wilson Sinclair, United States Department of Agriculture)
Saturday, 10:15 am PT
Recent Developments in Macro Labor
Lecture by Ayşegül Şahin (Princeton University)
Firm Responses to Tax Incentives: Theory, Evidence, and Estimation
Tax Incentives and the Supply of Low-Income Housing (Evan J. Soltas, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Who Benefits from Payroll Tax Cuts? Market Power, Tax Incidence and Efficiency (Felipe Lobel, University of California-Berkeley)
Diffuse Bunching with Frictions: Theory and Estimation (Santosh Shrikant Anagol, University of Pennsylvania; Allan Davids, University of Cape Town; Benjamin Lockwood, University of Pennsylvania; Tarun Ramadorai, Imperial College London)
Tax Planning and Multinational Behavior (Rosanne Altshuler, Rutgers University; Lysle Boller, Penn Wharton Budget Model; Kevin A. Roberts, Stanford GSB; Juan Carlos Suarez Serrato, Stanford GSB & NBER)
Immigration and Immigration Policies
Immigration and Education: Early Insights from the Buslift to NYC (Kevin Shih, University of California-Riverside; Selen Ozdogan, CUNY-Graduate Center)
U.S. Immigration and Labor Market Effects of the Mexican Drug War (Yuci Chen, W.E. Upjohn Institute; Mark Borgschulte, University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign and IZA; Eduardo Medina-Cortina, Cornerstone Research)
The Effect of Low-Skill Immigration Restrictions on U.S. Firms and Workers: Evidence from a Randomized Lottery (Ethan Lewis, Dartmouth College; Michael Clemens, George Mason University)
Externalities of U.S. Immigration Enforcement Policies: Evidence from El Salvador (Christian Ambrosius, Free University of Berlin; Juliana Quigua, University of Oxford; Andrea Velasquez, University of Colorado-Denver)
Topics in Public Policy: Crime, Labor, and Race
Growing up in Gang Territory: Estimating the Influence of Organized Criminal Activity on Young Americans (Jesse Bruhn, Brown University)
Does Investing in Schools Reduce Violent Crime? (Monique E. Davis, University of Minnesota; Kenneth Whaley, University of South Florida; Jamein P. Cunningham, University of Texas-Austin)
The Effects of Criminal Legal System Contact on Financing Successful Aging (Robynn Cox, University of California-Riverside)
Does Coaching Diversity Impact Team Success in Women's College Basketball (Johnny Ducking, University of Mississippi)
Restricting Unemployment Insurance and Crime: Evidence from the American Rescue Plan (Alexander Henke, Howard University; Linchi Hsu, Howard University)
Looking Ahead: What to Watch for in U.S. Regulatory Policy in the New Administration
Panel session featuring Caroline Cecot (George Mason University), Cary Coglianese (University of Pennsylvania), Don Kenkel (Cornell University), and Lisa Robinson (Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health)
Saturday, 2:30 pm PT
Emerging Threats to Financial Stability: Nonbank Financial Institutions and Commercial Real Estate
Work From Home and the Office Real Estate Apocalypse (Arpit Gupta, New York University; Vrinda Mittal, University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill; Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Columbia University)
Monetary Tightening, Commercial Real Estate Distress, and US Bank Fragility (Erica Xuewei Jiang, University of Southern California; Gregor Matvos, Northwestern University; Tomasz Piskorski, Columbia University; Amit Seru, Stanford University)
The Nonbank Footprint of Banks (Nicola Cetorelli, Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Saketh Prazad, Federal Reserve Bank of New York)
Shadow Always Touches the Feet: Implications of Bank Credit Lines to Non-Bank Financial Intermediaries (Viral Acharya, New York University; Manasa Gopal, Georgia Institute of Technology; Maximilian Jager, Frankfurt School of Finance; Sascha Steffen, Frankfurt School of Finance)
Panel session featuring Adriana D. Kugler (Governor, Federal Reserve Board), Mary C. Daly (President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco), John B. Taylor (Stanford University), and Karen Dynan (Harvard University)
Recent Developments in the Electric Vehicle Market
Drive Down the Cost: Learning by Doing and Government Policy in the Global Electric Vehicle Battery Industry (Panle Jia Barwick, University of Wisconsin-Madison and NBER; Hyuksoo Kwon, University of Chicago; Shanjun Li, Cornell University; Nahim Bin Zahur, Queen's University)
Industrial Policies for Multi-Stage Production: The Battle for Battery-Powered Vehicles (Keith Head, University of British Columbia; Thierry Mayer, Sciences Po; Marc Melitz, Harvard University; Chenying Yang, Singapore Management University)
The Effects of “Buy American”: Electric Vehicles and the Inflation Reduction Act (Hunt Allcott, Stanford University; Joseph S. Shapiro, University of California-Berkeley; Felix Tintelnot, University of Chicago)
IRA Tax Credit for Used Electric Vehicles (Hyuksoo Kwon, University of Chicago; Hunt Allcott, Stanford University; Tess Snyder, Stanford University)
Sunday, 8:00 am PT
Student Loans: Implications for the Labor Market and Inequality
Consumption and Employment Responses to Beliefs about Student Loan Repayment (Dmitri Koustas, University of Chicago; Michael Weber, University of Chicago; Constantine Yannelis, University of Chicago)
Financial Frictions and Human Capital Investments (Menaka Hampole, Yale University)
Insurance versus Moral Hazard in Income-Contingent Student Loan Repayment (Tim de Silva, Stanford University)
How Do Income-Driven Repayment Plans Benefit Student Debt Borrowers? (Sylvain Catherine, University of Pennsylvania; Mehran Ebrahimian, Stockholm School of Economics; Constantine Yannelis, University of Chicago)
Translating Economic Research Into Public Policy: Lessons from Economists in Government
Panel session featuring Susan Athey (Stanford University), Jessica Wachter (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission), Catherine Wolfram (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), and Wesley Yin (University of California-Los Angeles)
Designing Affordable Housing: Theory and Empirics
Optimal In-Kind Redistribution (Zi Yang Kang, Harvard University)
The Welfare and Targeting Impacts of Public Housing vs Vouchers: Lottery Evidence from Miami (Robert Collinson, University of Notre Dame; Winnie van Dijk, Yale University; Daniel Waldinger, New York University)
Pricing priorities in waitlists (Filip Stefan Tokarski, Stanford University)
Where to Build Affordable Housing? Evaluating the Tradeoffs of Location (Cody Cook, Stanford University; Pearl Z. Li, Federal Trade Commission; Ariel Binder, U.S. Census Bureau)
Sunday, 10:15 am PT
Long-Term and Intergenerational Effects of Government Policies
The EITC and Intergenerational Mobility (Randall Akee, University of California-Los Angeles; Maggie R. Jones, U.S. Census Bureau; Emilia Simeonova, Johns Hopkins University)
Can Public Policies Break the Gender Mold? Evidence from Paternity Leave Reforms in Six Countries (Libertad Gonzalez, Pompeu Fabra University; Sébastien Fontenay, Pompeu Fabra University)
The Effects of Universal Pre-K (Alexander Smith, West Point Academy; Andrew Barr, Texas A&M University; Jonathan Eggleston, U.S. Census Bureau)
Understanding and Addressing Homelessness
Homelessness and Children’s Mental Health: Evidence from Medicaid in New York City (Mike Cassidy, Princeton University; Janet Currie, Princeton University; Sherry Glied, New York University; Renata Howland, New York University)
Homelessness and the Persistence of Deprivation: Income, Employment, and Safety Net Participation (Bruce D. Meyer, University of Chicago; Angela Wyse, University of Chicago; Gillian Meyer, University of Pennsylvania; Alexa Grunwaldt, Yale University; Derek Wu, University of Virginia)
The Effect of Emergency Financial Assistance on Employment and Earnings (Daniel Hungerman, University of Notre Dame; David Phillips, University of Notre Dame; Kevin Rinz, U.S. Census Bureau; James Sullivan, University of Notre Dame)
The Impacts of an Unconditional Cash Transfer for Homeless Families: Experimental Evidence from Illinois (Nour Abdul-Razzak, University of Chicago; John Eric Humphries, Yale University; Stephen Stapleton, University of Chicago; Winnie Van Dijk, Yale University)
Labor Market Power and Rent-Sharing
Acquired Minds: How M&As Shape Inventors’ Career Trajectories and Innovation (Alex He, University of Maryland; Sophia Xue, Georgia State University)
The Labor Market Impact of Shareholder Power: Worker-Level Evidence (Antonio Falato, Federal Reserve Board; Daniel Gallego, Northwestern University; Hyunseob Kim, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago; Till von Wachter, University of California-Los Angeles)
Employer Concentration and Outside Options (Anna Stansbury, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Gregor Schubert, University of California-Los Angeles; Bledi Taska, SkyHive)
Right to Work in the Era of Generative Artificial Intelligence (Yong Suk Lee, University of Notre Dame; Joseph Tatarka, University of Chicago)
Sunday, 1:00 pm PT
Housing Price Dynamics 2 (Sunday, 1:00 pm PT)
Fiscal Stimulus Payments, Housing Demand, and House Price Inflation (Leming Lin, University of Pittsburgh)
The Effect of Targeted Subsidies on the Location Choice of Housing Voucher Recipients: Evidence from the Small-Area Fair Market Rents (Eunjee Kwon, University of Cincinnati; Michael Eriksen, Purdue University; Guoyang Yang, University of Cincinnati)
Persistence of Market Conditions in Real Estate Markets (Paul Anglin, University of Guelph)
A Tale of Two U.S. House Price Booms (Anthony Murphy, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas; John Duca, Oberlin College; John Muellbauer, University of Oxford)
Compliance and Enforcement of Labor and Employment Law
Labor Standards Compliance and Worker Complaints: New Data and Insights (David Weil, Brandeis University; Daniel Schneider, Harvard University; Goncalo Costa, Harvard University)
Management Practices, Workplace Injuries, and the Effects of Safety Regulations (Matthew Johnson, Duke University; Nicholas Bloom, Stanford University; David Levine, University of California-Berkeley; Alison Pei, Duke University)
Does Wage Theft Vary by Demographic Group? Evidence from Minimum Wage Increases (Jeffrey Clemens, University of California-San Diego; Michael Strain, American Enterprise Institute)
Incentives to Comply with the Minimum Wage in the U.S. and the U.K. (Anna Stansbury, Massachusetts Institute of Technology)