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Thank you for this article.

I am wondering whether the rise in reported disabilities could be due, at least partially, to a higher rate of diagnosis. I only have anecdotal evidence, and I am not claiming it is the sole effect, but I have seen many people benefiting from the lockdowns and stay-at-home orders to diagnosis a pre-existing mental health disorder (ADHD, depression, anxiety, etc.).

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Seems plausible. When this first published, someone tweeted a chart at me showing related prescriptions increasing, but now that site barely works and I can’t find it. I think it may have been over a longer timeframe. Anyway, I wouldn’t be surprised if changes in detection/diagnosis are playing a meaningful role.

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You might find this piece by my colleague Louis Sheiner relevant https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/WP80-Sheiner-Salwati_10.27.pdf She is in the process of updating it. Cheers, David Wessel

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Interesting, thanks David!

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